September 24th, 2008

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Linkharvest: Are Polls Undercounting Obama Supporters

This study by the Pew Research Center, the answer appears to be "possibly a smidge, but not more than a smidge." In three polls and interviews by PEW conducted from cell phone pools, they found that the variance from the standard landline only polling pool was 2%. That is within the acceptable margin of error. Of note, it was always 2% and always in favor of Obama. OTOH, three polls is a fairly small sample size.

Guess we'll actually have to hold the election after all.