I am a seer and profit
Well, at least in the sense that one can be betting the odds. But the fact that regulators seem to miss the obvious elevates it to prophecy I suppose.
In this case, it goes to VZ selling its 700 MHz licenses. I predicted that, absent an FCC condition, they would unload them either to AT&T or to players in markets so rural that VZ doesn't want to serve them. AT&T can (and will) pay more than anyone else, so even though they are a major competitor VZ will sell to them -- especially if AT&T can provide some spectrum back.
So VZ is now done selling off its 700 MHz licenses. The ones that didn't go to AT&T (surprise!) wen to a bunch of very rural systems.http://www.wirelessweek.com/news/2013/02/verizon-finalizes-three-spectrum-deals-rural-telecoms
I don't begrudge rurals their 700 MHz licenses. They need them. But it hardly helps competition and we shouldn't pretend it does.