osewalrus (osewalrus) wrote,

Interesting on cell phone polling

Comm Daily reported that PEW found an overall 4-6 point "house effect" toward Rs for landline only polls v. polls that included cell phones. Generally consensus among polling experts is that this is probably not significant, since "cell only" population is in less likely to vote pool. But if that were case, would expect much less variation between the "likely voter" polls and the "all registered voter" polls for those (like Rasmussen) that are landline only.

I do not think it matters much at the moment, but if Rs do much worse than anticipated tomorrow expect this to be one of reasons cited polling was significantly off.

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